Israeli intelligence chiefs see Tehran surviving protests, for now By Reuters

© Reuters. A police motorbike burns throughout a protest over the loss of life of Mahsa Amini, a lady who died after being arrested by the Islamic republic’s “morality police”, in Tehran, Iran September 19, 2022. WANA (West Asia Information Company) by way of REUTERS

By Dan Williams

JERUSALEM (Reuters) -Iran’s clerical rulers are prone to survive protests sweeping the nation and will keep in energy for years, the chief analyst for Israeli army intelligence mentioned on Monday, prompting his commander to foretell the enemy regime would finally fall.

Locked in a Chilly Battle-style battle with Iran, Israel has carefully monitored the unusually protracted and violent unrest and provided some statements of assist for the protesters.

However Israeli officers, their concentrate on Iranian nuclear tasks and regional guerrilla allies, have been circumspect about any prospects for Tehran being topped by a well-liked rebellion.

“The repressive Iranian regime will, it appears, handle to outlive these protests,” Brigadier-Basic Amit Saar, who as head of analysis for Israel’s army intelligence is chargeable for nationwide strategic forecasts, mentioned in a speech.

“It has constructed very, very sturdy instruments for coping with such protests,” he instructed the primary public convention by the Gazit Institute, a think-tank that operates underneath his corps.

“However I feel that even when these protests wane, the explanations (for them) will stay, and thus the Iranian regime has an issue for years to come back.”

Addressing the discussion board later, army intelligence commander Main-Basic Aharon Haliva recapped Saar’s remarks however added: “Seen long-term, it could seem this regime is not going to survive.”

“I am not able to present a date. We aren’t prophets,” he cautioned. “I like to recommend that all of us be way more modest, with way more caveats, on the subject of the conduct of societies.”

The upheaval, sparked by the loss of life of Iranian Kurdish girl Mahsa Amini on Sept. 16 in police custody, poses one of many strongest challenges to the Islamic Republic for the reason that 1979 revolution. Tehran manufacturers the protests as a Western-backed plot.