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Despite the fact that the 2022 NFL season is roughly 4 months from kicking off, it is by no means too early to invest about win totals — or to gamble on them.
So far as the latter is anxious, Caesars Sportsbook launched its preliminary projected win totals for every staff for the approaching season. There’s quite a bit that may nonetheless occur between from time to time, however NFL over/unders are open for wagering, so we requested our 32 NFL Nation writers to handicap the win totals of the groups they cowl based mostly on the preliminary Caesars numbers listed beneath.
There may be loads of optimism from our reporters concerning the fortunes of the groups they cowl, just a little pessimism and the occasional pragmatic push right here and there. Whether or not it is optimism about operating it again with a profitable staff, giddiness about offseason additions or adopting a wait-and-see method for rebuilding conditions, NFL Nation is right here to offer keen bettors with early recommendation.
Soar to:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH
AFC EAST
Over/below: 11.5
Prediction: Buffalo received 11 video games final yr however ought to have received much more. The 2022 Payments ought to win greater than 11. This roster is best than in 2021, because of the additions made all through the offseason, most notably Von Miller. The AFC East improved across the Payments and the schedule has robust video games in each portion, however this roster ought to win at the very least 12 video games. — Alaina Getzenberg
Over/below: 8.5
Prediction: On paper, there are seven video games that Miami ought to win if it considers itself a playoff contender. If it takes care of enterprise in these video games and pulls out a few swing video games, Miami ought to clear 8.5. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Over/below: 8.5
Prediction: Invoice Belichick’s staff wants a number of issues to occur to hit the over, beginning with quarterback Mac Jones making the often-discussed second-year bounce. There are large questions at linebacker and cornerback to reply as nicely, and the offensive teaching employees, the place Matt Patricia and Joe Choose — whose major backgrounds are on protection and particular groups, respectively — are taking up lead roles. — Mike Reiss
Over/below: 5.5
Prediction: The Jets’ over/below is bigger than their common win complete over the previous six seasons (4.5). Disgrace on them if they can not win at the very least six video games. After years of rebuilding — it seems like a long time, proper? — the Jets have improved their personnel on either side of the ball to the purpose the place they completely ought to be taking part in significant video games in December. The distinction between 6-11 and, say, 9-8, shall be Zach Wilson and his growth. — Wealthy Cimini
AFC NORTH
Over/below: 9.5
Prediction: Baltimore will hit the over so long as Lamar Jackson stays wholesome, which was a significant subject final yr. Since Jackson took over because the starter halfway by way of the 2018 season, his profitable share (.755, 37-12 document) ranks solely behind that of Patrick Mahomes. With out Jackson, Baltimore is 2-5 (.286) over the previous three seasons. — Jamison Hensley
Over/below: 9.5
Prediction: Final season, the Bengals exceeded expectations with a 10-win season. Cincinnati will want one other robust defensive yr and for its offense to click on because it did in wins over Kansas Metropolis and Baltimore if it needs to have a shot of hitting double digits. — Ben Child
Over/below: 9.5
Prediction: Whether or not Cleveland can high the present over/below will hinge closely on whether or not new quarterback Deshaun Watson is suspended below the league’s code of conduct coverage. If Watson is not suspended, the Browns have the expertise to simply attain 10 victories in opposition to this schedule. — Jake Trotter
Over/below: 7.5
Prediction: For the Steelers to hit the over, they will want the quarterback state of affairs to be settled — and shortly. Whether or not that is Kenny Pickett ranging from the start and deftly adjusting to the NFL studying curve or Mitch Trubisky commanding Matt Canada’s offense, whoever takes over the beginning job should hit the bottom operating, actually. — Brooke Pryor
AFC SOUTH
Over/below: 4.5
Prediction: Taking the over requires some religion in an improved offense behind quarterback Davis Mills, however even with a schedule that features the robust AFC West, I am going to take the over in Houston. — Sarah Barshop
Over/below: 9.5
Prediction: The Colts cannot rely as a lot on operating again Jonathan Taylor like they did final season in the event that they anticipate to fulfill or surpass that complete. The younger receivers, led by Michael Pittman Jr., should step up and assist Taylor and new beginning quarterback Matt Ryan if the Colts anticipate to go toe-to-toe with their schedule. — Mike Wells
Over/below: 6.5
Prediction: Simply having Doug Pederson main the ship as an alternative of City Meyer will make an enormous distinction, however to hit the over, quarterback Trevor Lawrence has to make main strides in his second season. That does not appear unreasonable, contemplating he is not coping with the dysfunction that infested the franchise below Meyer, the truth that Pederson has given him three assistants who had been former faculty or professional quarterbacks, and the staff added receivers Christian Kirk and Zay Jones and tight finish Evan Engram in free company. — Michael DiRocco
Over/below: 9.5
Prediction: Tennessee has received 9 or extra video games in every of its three seasons with Mike Vrabel as coach. This yr’s schedule options clashes with the AFC West and a go to to Buffalo to face the Payments. Though it is no stroll within the park, the Titans ought to have the ability to salvage 10 wins. — Turron Davenport
AFC WEST
Over/below quantity: 10
Prediction: To hit that over/below of 10, the Broncos will probably have to interrupt the shedding streak to the Chiefs, win most, or all, of their house video games and be ready to interrupt a six-year playoff drought. — Jeff Legwold
Over/below: 10.5
Prediction: The Chiefs have received at the very least 12 video games in every of the previous 4 seasons. However they have not performed a schedule fairly as troublesome because the one they are going to face this season, after every of their AFC West rivals loaded up by way of free company and trades. The Chiefs can hit the over in the event that they survive a gap six-game stretch that features two division video games plus matchups with the Payments and Bucs. — Adam Teicher
Over/below: 8.5
Prediction: That over/below of 8.5 appears insulting, given the Raiders are coming off a 10-win playoff season, improved throughout the roster and joined the 21st century with an elite playcaller in new coach Josh McDaniels. That is on paper, although, and the offensive line nonetheless has to guard quarterback Derek Carr, who will want time to ship the ball downfield to varsity bestie Davante Adams. — Paul Gutierrez
Over/below: 10
Prediction: On paper, 10 wins ought to be doable, however fall into an 0-2 gap in opposition to a pair of AFC West foes and that climb again shall be steep certainly. Win each video games, and it ought to be easy crusing from there on in. — Paul Gutierrez
NFC EAST
Over/below: 10.5
Prediction: A yr in the past, the Cowboys received 12 video games, however they do not have Amari Cooper, Randy Gregory, Connor Williams or La’el Collins round this yr. They have not made the large free-agent splashes. Their draft did not generate a ton of buzz, both. So why 10.5? They’re tied with Washington for the best energy of schedule based mostly off final yr’s win percentages. — Todd Archer
Over/below: 7
Prediction: Seven wins appears bold. This is able to be a three-win enchancment from final season’s 4-13 end. Is the prospect that Jones stays wholesome (he hasn’t but in three seasons) and a brand new teaching employees actually sufficient to convey the 4 wins it might take to hit the over? — Jordan Raanan
Over/below: 9
Prediction: Contemplating the energy of schedule based mostly off final yr’s win percentages and the actual fact they received 9 video games final season, the over/below of 9 is likely to be just a little low. The commerce for A.J. Brown ought to assist quarterback Jalen Hurts in his second full season because the beginning quarterback. — Todd Archer
Over/below: 7.5
Prediction: That over/below would imply only a half-win higher than 2021 when accidents and COVID-19 derailed Washington’s season. The Commanders have upgraded at quarterback and may have a significantly better offense total. Defensively, they do not face close to the caliber of quarterbacks they did final season. — John Keim
NFC NORTH
Over/below: 6.5
Prediction: The NFC North is extra open than in years previous, however Chicago is not a staff presently constructed to contend for the playoffs, not to mention a division title. The Bears will play 13 straight video games earlier than they get every week off late within the season. In the event that they wish to hit the over, they could need to depend on their protection to hold the load with some early wins as Justin Fields builds chemistry along with his new teammates throughout the early portion of the schedule. — Courtney Cronin
Over/below: 6
Prediction: To hit the over, quarterback Jared Goff has to indicate that he may be productive with anybody aside from Sean McVay as his coach. Goff is 3-17-1 (.167) with a QBR of 33 in his profession with out McVay. All of that definitely is not his fault. Lions common supervisor Brad Holmes is placing offensive weapons round him in 2022, and Goff has a familiarity with receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, operating again D’Andre Swift and tight finish T.J. Hockenson. Plus, the Lions added receivers DJ Chark and Jameson Williams through free company and the draft, respectively. The rebuilt protection additionally has to step it up as nicely. — Eric Woodyard
Over/below: 11
Prediction: The oddmakers should not assume coach Matt LaFleur can put collectively a fourth straight 13-win season. LaFleur has executed that in every of his first three seasons as their coach. If they will make up for the lack of All-Professional receiver Davante Adams, then they may go over once more. And bear in mind, they had been 7-Zero with out Adams the previous three seasons. — Rob Demovsky
Over/below: 9
Prediction: Take the over. The Vikings’ roster has a better ground than most groups that rent a brand new coach. It is proficient and has averaged 9 wins per yr over the previous 9 seasons. With a recent coat of paint on the offense and protection, and a weakened NFC total, this staff ought to win at the very least 10 video games. — Kevin Seifert
NFC SOUTH
Over/below: 5.5
Prediction: Oddsmakers aren’t excessive on the Falcons, and that is with good cause based mostly on the roster as presently constructed. Atlanta may shock a bit, notably within the entrance seven on protection, however inevitably falls just below the over/below mark at 5 wins this season. — Michael Rothstein
Over/below: 6
Prediction: The over/below of 6 is another win than the staff has had in every of the previous three seasons. Carolina hasn’t had a profitable season since going 11-5 in 2017, which coincides with the final time the staff had constant quarterback play. To surpass six wins, constant play from Sam Darnold, or whoever is at quarterback, is a should. — David Newton
Over/below: 7.5
Prediction: The oddsmakers are skeptical the Saints can overcome the lack of coach Sean Payton. The win complete of seven.5 is just too low, contemplating they went 9-Eight final yr regardless of setting an NFL document with 58 starters used. Getting quarterback Jameis Winston and star wideout Michael Thomas again wholesome and including first-round decide Chris Olave will revive the offense. — Mike Triplett
Over/below: 11.5
Prediction: They managed to go 13-Four final season regardless of their receiving corps being decimated by accidents within the final quarter of the season. However that was in opposition to a 29th-ranked schedule, in response to FPI, with opponents ending a mixed 126-145 the yr earlier than. This season, the Bucs’ opponents completed a mixed 154-134-1 in 2021. — Jenna Laine
NFC WEST
Over/below quantity: 9
Prediction: They will have to have a powerful begin with out DeAndre Hopkins to succeed in that quantity. Their season is filled with robust stretches, and with a historical past of late-season collapses; reaching 9 wins could also be a stretch. — Josh Weinfuss
Over/below quantity: 10.5
Prediction: I am going to take the over. Sure, the Rams have the hardest energy of schedule in 2022, however they’d the second-toughest schedule final season and nonetheless received 12 video games. — Sarah Barshop
Over/below quantity: 10
Prediction: That is the variety of video games the Niners received final season earlier than making a deep postseason run and feels about proper for a roster that continues to be largely intact. However there’s much more potential variance with this group due to the anticipated ascendance of Trey Lance to the beginning quarterback job. — Nick Wagoner
Over/below quantity: 6
Prediction: I am taking the over, however barely. Which may appear overly optimistic for a staff with a significant query mark at quarterback, however there’s sufficient expertise elsewhere on their roster — and sufficient weak-looking opponents with iffy QB conditions of their very own — to scratch out seven wins. That can require one notable upset. — Brady Henderson
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